Are we in a recession?

We cant wait to let the definition confirm the phenomenon. The hot topic among investors is the possibility of a recession. A lot of investors were in fact confirmed that we are already in recession. But the definition says the market must correct more than 40% and the decline in GDP on a QoQ basis. The main thing that makes investors speculate about the recession is the situation we are in. If we look at history, the atmosphere resembles the situation prior to the recession. Nations around the world are facing the worst inflation within a couple of decades. Frequent interest hikes by the central bank to keep inflation under control. Each time prior to the recession, we could learn from history that the price of commodities and oil touched new highs almost every week. We are witnessing this. Analysts credit this rise in price to the war. But the truth is that war only accelerated the recession. Sooner or later, we will hit the mark of recession and we will see the consequences in our daily life. 

We can blame the central bank and hope they would bring the system in control. But that's not what investors like us do. For an investor to keep their wealth safe, he must hedge the position. There are a lot of ways of making the positions balanced, either we can short the market, or we can diversify to commodities and oils. Finding a better alternative isn't difficult. By studying the historical data, we can actually come up with better solutions.