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Prediction and results

 When it comes to predicting things, only an experienced person can predict it with the most probable accuracy. Because prediction involves a deep understanding of the behavior of that predictive thing. When a novice person enters into the game of prediction, he must go through different circumstances to increase the probability of an outcome. Every time when a prediction goes wrong, it is an opportunity to learn. The prediction stands when the pattern repeats. Pattern for different things repeats at the different time frames and different levels of outcomes. That is why trading became difficult. It needs years of experience to make a most probable move when there are plenty of outcomes. But it is also rewarding. A person who predicts the weather earns much less than the one who predicts the price of a stock. Just think about a person in demand who can predict death. Prediction of death is nearly impossible because of the infinite number of infinite numbers of probability. It is a permutation of everything we have from tangible to intangible.

 But those predictable things, when we go through many failures calculation ultimately leads to the result of high accuracy. So, it is not the difficulty that is bringing the wrong results, but lack of exposure and experience.

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